Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000028 0.000030 0.000033 0.000036 0.000039 0.000043
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000023 0.000027 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000058
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075
2026-02-01 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000076
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000022 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000059 0.000078
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000060 0.000081
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000044 0.000060 0.000083
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000059 0.000083
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000058 0.000083
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000029 0.000041 0.000058 0.000084
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000028 0.000040 0.000057 0.000086
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000039 0.000057 0.000087
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000039 0.000059 0.000091
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000041 0.000062 0.000100
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000130
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000048 0.000077 0.000130
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000076 0.000131
2026-05-10 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000135
2026-05-17 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000137
2026-05-24 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000075 0.000136
2026-05-31 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000134